**Lesson Overview**- In this lesson we will be studying probability.

Students will be able to:- Perform Apply the basic concepts of probability to real world scenarios
- Find the probability of events using conditional probability and the multiplication rule
- Find probabilities using the addition rule for mutually exclusive and non-mutually exclusive events
- Use permutations and combinations to find probabilities
**In this lesson, we will discuss:** - Conditional Probabilities
**Key Learning Concept 1** - Explain the use and misuse of statistical concepts.
- Solve basic probability problems.
**The following activities and assessments need to be completed this week:** - Reading: Understanding Basic Statistics Chapter 5
- Forum 3 – Conditional Probabilities
- Homework 3 in WebAssign

Read Chapter 5 in Understanding Basic Statistics 8/e. This will give you an overview of basic concepts of probability and counting, conditional probability, the multiplication rule and the addition .

**These are some important things to note:**

- Finding basic probabilities.
- Using the counting techniques.
- Finding conditional probabilities.
- Using the multiplication rule.
- Using the addition rule.

**This reading corresponds to the following course objectives:**

CO-1. Explain the use and misuse of statistical concepts..

CO-3. Solve basic probability problems.

**Assignment – Homework 3**

Homework 3 will be completed in WebAssign. WebAssign is interactive and will assist the students in learning the course objectives for the week.

**This assignment corresponds to the following course objectives: **

- Apply the use and misuse of elementary statistical concepts.
- Solve basic probability problems.

No quiz this week

This week you will study probability. This will include basic concepts of probability and counting, conditional probability and the multiplication rule and the addition rule. You will use this knowledge next week as we continue with discrete probability distributions.

**Before moving on to the next week, be sure you have completed the following:**

- Reading: Understanding Basic Statistics Chapter 5
- Forum 3 Conditional Probabilities
- Homework 3

Next week you will learn about discrete probability distributions.